北海道とフィンランドの交流週間が終わった。
フィンランド・カレリア地方の知事さんや建築関係者との交流経験。
わたしとしては直感的に対ロシアの緊張する情勢背景を思ったけれど、
終了したタイミングでヨーロッパ情勢がきわどくなってきている。

ウクライナの東部・南部での戦争情勢が激しさを増している。
昨日段階でプーチンがNATO・アメリカのウクライナへの武器供与について
非難し、警告を発出したという情報が流れている。
地上軍の戦闘ではロシア陸軍の士気は最初から低く、
「侵攻すれば簡単に政権転覆できる」という甘い見通しが破綻した後、
NATOからの潤沢な情報と武器供与でロシアの劣勢が明らかになった。
そのなかで６月12日はロシアの建国記念日の休暇だという。
徐々に「停戦」という動きが出てきている。
戦争動乱はこれまで「中立」だったスウェーデン・フィンランド
北欧２カ国によるNATO加盟申請も大きく絡んできている。
この動きに対しNATO既加盟国・トルコが「拒否権」発動の動きに出ている。
トルコは強権支配独裁体制の国であり、国内に民族紛争を抱えている。
その「反体制派」が北欧２カ国に拠点を置いていることに
クレームを出して２カ国の加盟に難を唱えているのだという。
フィンランドとしては国の命運を懸けたNATO加盟申請であり、
複雑な外交・地ならしを周到に展開しているとされる。
女性首相は５月10日に訪日して伝統的なトルコと日本の友好関係を
情勢転換のテコに利用したい思惑もあったとされる。
日本は日米同盟が基軸でありNATOに対して連携姿勢を明確にしている。
岸田首相は近々NATOの会議に参加する予定だという。
こういった世界情勢のなかでの今回の北海道・フィンランドウィーク。

国連の機能不全・破綻が完全に露わになって自由主義国家群は
NATOなどの集団的自衛権同盟組織に結集しつつある。
ロシアなどの独裁的集権国家の武力侵略に対して現実の力としては
それしか選択肢はない。日本もまったく同じであり日米同盟を基盤に
オーストラリアとの集団的同盟枠組みに進み出す。
対中国という関係性ではインドも呼応する姿勢を見せている。
ここでも日本の動向がかなり世界情勢の基底に関わっている。
トルコはいま、ロシア−ウクライナの停戦調停の動きに出ている。
ここ数日でこれらの外交的動きに顕著な方向性が出てくるのではないか。
これからは国連幻想から完全に無縁なパワーリアリズムの時代。

ほんの数日前に言葉を交わした相手はこのような緊迫した情勢下にいる。
かれらの無事と安全を深く祈念すると同時に、
今後とも住環境向上の友人として交流していきたいと思います。
＜写真は札幌発寒川緑地と欧州から移植された当地のルピナス＞

English version⬇

The situation in Russia-Europe and Japan is becoming extremely urgent.
Promotion of exchange with Finland. The collective self-defense framework of liberal states replacing the failed UN. The world’s geopolitical upheaval. …

The exchange week between Hokkaido and Finland has come to an end.
I had the opportunity to meet with the governor of the Karelia region of Finland, as well as with people involved in the building industry.
I intuitively thought of the tense situation in Russia, but the situation in Europe is becoming more and more dangerous at the time of the end of the week.
However, the situation in Europe has become more and more dangerous at the time of the end of the week.

The war situation in the eastern and southern parts of Ukraine is intensifying.
As of yesterday, Vladimir Putin has condemned and warned against NATO and U.S. arms transfers to Ukraine.
Putin has condemned NATO and US arms transfers to Ukraine and has issued a warning.
In the ground combat, the morale of the Russian army has been low from the start.
After the collapse of the naive prospect that an invasion would easily overthrow the government, the Russian army’s morale was low from the start.
After the collapse of the naive prospect that the Russian army could easily overthrow the government if it invaded, the abundant information and arms supplies from NATO revealed Russia’s inferiority complex.
In the midst of all this, June 12 is Russia’s National Day vacation.
Gradually, a “ceasefire” movement is emerging.
Sweden and Finland, which have been “neutral” in the war uprisings so far.
The application for NATO membership by the two Scandinavian countries is also a major factor.
In response to this move, Turkey, a former member of NATO, is moving to invoke its “veto power.
Turkey is a country with an authoritarian dictatorship and is involved in an ethnic conflict within its borders.
Turkey has an ethnic conflict within its borders, and has complained that its “dissidents” are based in two northern European countries.
The Finnish government is concerned about the fate of its country.
Finland’s application to join NATO is a matter of national destiny.
Finland is said to be carefully developing a complex diplomatic and groundwork plan.
The prime minister will visit Japan on May 10, hoping to use the traditional friendly relations between Turkey and Japan as a lever to turn the tide of the situation.
The prime minister is also said to have hoped to use the traditional friendship between Turkey and Japan as a lever for a change in the situation.
Japan’s Japan-U.S. alliance is the cornerstone of its relations with NATO, and Japan has a clear stance on cooperation with NATO.
Prime Minister Kishida is scheduled to attend a NATO meeting in the near future.
The Hokkaido-Finland week comes amidst such a global situation.

The dysfunction and bankruptcy of the UN has been completely exposed, and a group of liberal nations are now in a position to take the lead.
The UN’s dysfunction and bankruptcy has been completely exposed, and liberal nations are rallying to NATO and other alliances for collective self-defense.
The only realistic force against the armed aggression of Russia and other autocratic, centralized states is the United States.
That is the only option. Japan is no different, and based on the Japan-U.S. alliance
Japan, too, is moving toward a collective alliance framework with Australia, based on the Japan-U.S. Alliance.
In terms of relations with China, India is also taking a corresponding stance.
Here, too, Japan’s moves have a significant bearing on world affairs.
Turkey is now moving to mediate a Russian-Ukrainian ceasefire.
In the next few days, these diplomatic moves will probably take a noticeable turn.
We are now in the era of power realism, completely free from the UN illusion.

The people with whom we exchanged words just a few days ago are in such a tense situation.
I deeply pray for their safety and security, and at the same time
I hope to continue to communicate with them as a friend for the improvement of the living environment.
＜The photo shows the Sapporo Hassamu River Green and our lupines transplanted from Europe.

Posted on 6月 6th, 2022 by 三木 奎吾
Filed under: 日本社会・文化研究, 状況・政治への発言