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【新冷戦構造での最弱の環、ニッポン】


安倍元首相白昼テロ、惨殺の衝撃から日常がなかなか返ってこない・・・。

北京冬季五輪直後からのロシアによるウクライナ侵攻、
まったく機能を果たさない国連という組織の無惨な破綻。
アジアでは経済沈没から国民の目をそらす中国の戦争政策の危険性増大。
結果として「第2次冷戦構造」世界への移行が否応なく進んできている。
まだ、この衝撃波は日本社会では根底から認識はされていない。
基本的には中露連携という独裁国家群の体制に対して
無能組織・国連はパワーバランスとしてはまったく無視され、
自由世界はNATO、日米豪韓という同盟強化の方向に向かっている。
先日、G20という組織の破綻ぶりも明白になった。

これまでの世界はまったく終焉したのではないか。
こういう国際情勢を受けて日本社会も体勢を立て直す必要がある。
一方でこの時点でなお「モリカケサクラ」と紙面で書くメディアもある。
まさかこの現代に、ということが白昼公然と起こってしまう時代。
どうも今回の事態はそういう時代の到来を告げるものではないか。
わたしたちは平和に慣れすぎているけれど、
地政学的には日本は非自由主義・独裁陣営のロシア・中国・北朝鮮に
大きく包囲された位置にある。
前回の「冷戦構造」期にはアジアでは朝鮮半島が分断・内戦化したけれど、
現代の冷戦期では、サイバーや世論を含めた分断危機は
実は日本がいちばんの危険地帯になる蓋然性が高い。
こういう「新常識国際関係」に、わたしたちはまだ無自覚だと思う。
それは中露による直接の侵攻危機という形とは違うものとして
日本社会に「分断」をもたらす危険性が高い。
そういうアラートの最たるものとして、今回の安倍元首相暗殺があったと思える。
欧米社会では完全に「暗殺」というフレーズが国際認知されている。
どうすれば日本を「守っていく」ことができるのか、
国民ひとりひとりの冷静な判断が求められていると思う。

安倍さんの不慮の死と奥さんの様子をテレビで見ていて、
そのあまりの無常さに伴侶という存在のありがたさを感じていた。
深い悲しみのなかで奥さんは炎天下自宅周辺の報道陣に冷飲料を配ったという情報。
冷静でいることの大切さがヒシヒシと伝わってきた。・・・
昨晩カミさんが親戚の法事からほぼ2日ぶりに夜に帰還。ホッとしています。
<写真下は壬申の乱内戦の様子復元。クマさんはロシアとは無関係(笑)>

English version⬇

Japan, the weakest link in the new Cold War structure.
The Korean Peninsula was divided during the Cold War between East and West, and there is a strong possibility that the “division” of Japanese society will continue in the modern era. The people of Japan must make a calm decision. …

It is hard to return to daily life after the shock of the broad daylight terror and slaughter of former Prime Minister Abe….

The invasion of Ukraine by Russia immediately after the Beijing Winter Olympics.
The disastrous collapse of the United Nations, an organization that has failed to function at all.
In Asia, China’s war policy has increased the danger of distracting the public from the economic sinking.
As a result, the transition to the world of the “Second Cold War Structure” is undeniably underway.
As yet, this shock wave has not been fundamentally recognized in Japanese society.
Basically, the United Nations, an incompetent organization, is trying to maintain the balance of power against the system of dictatorships in China and Russia.
The UN, an incompetent organization, is totally ignored as a balance of power.
The free world is moving in the direction of strengthening alliances with NATO, Japan, the U.S., Australia, and South Korea.
The other day, the bankruptcy of the G20 organization also became clear.

The world as we know it may have come to an end.
In response to this international situation, Japanese society needs to regroup.
On the other hand, at this point in time, some in the media are still calling it “mollycoddling cherry picking” in their papers.
We live in an era in which such things can happen in broad daylight.
This situation seems to herald the arrival of such an era.
We have become too accustomed to peace.
Geopolitically, Japan is surrounded by Russia, China, and North Korea, which are illiberal and dictatorial camps.
Japan is surrounded by the illiberal and dictatorial camps of Russia, China, and North Korea.
During the last Cold War, the Korean Peninsula was divided and civil war broke out in Asia.
In the modern Cold War era, the crisis of division, including cyber and public opinion
In fact, there is a high probability that Japan will become the most dangerous zone.
I believe that we are still unaware of this “new normal of international relations.
It is not in the form of a direct invasion crisis by China or Russia, but in the form of a crisis that will bring “division” to Japanese society.
There is a high risk that it will bring about a “division” in Japanese society in a way different from a direct invasion crisis by China or Russia.
The assassination of former Prime Minister Abe seems to me to be a prime example of such an alert.
The phrase “assassination” is fully recognized internationally in Western society.
How can we “protect” Japan?
I believe that each and every citizen is required to make a calm decision on how to “protect” Japan.

Watching Mr. Abe’s unexpected death and his wife’s condition on TV
I felt grateful for the existence of a companion in the face of such a terrible tragedy.
In her deep grief, I heard that his wife distributed cold beverages to the press around their home under the blazing sun.
The importance of keeping one’s composure was clearly conveyed to me. Last night, my wife was at a legal hearing with her relatives.
Last night, my wife returned home at night for the first time in almost two days from a relative’s memorial service. I am relieved.
<The photo below is a reconstruction of the civil war during the Jinshin Rebellion. The bear has nothing to do with Russia.

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