旭川近郊・東川は近年、本州地域からの「半移住」的発展が語られている。
感染症の拡大によってテレワークが日常的に普遍化して
仕事の環境としてとくに首都圏中心地の利便性優先思想が減衰し、
それに替わって自然環境の豊かな地方でしかも交通インフラがある地域、
という発展要因が注目され始めている現実。
東川地域は、旭川空港からのアクセスで首都圏からの交通は
確保されている。なんと言っても豊かな自然環境に没入できることから
注目度が高まってきているのですね。
いまワークとバケーションの合体造語であるワーケーションが注目されている。
地域に本社を置く「北の住まい設計社」さんは、家具製作などで
全国へのアピールもされているので、そういうユーザーとの関係性も高く、
最近は本社近くの自然林地域に自然最優先のような「住宅地」を開発している。
この住宅はそうしたもののひとつ。
施主さんは本州地域の方であり、不定期にこの建物を使うけれど、
管理保全なども同社に依頼しているのだということ。

敷地は周辺道路のやや高台に位置していて無舗装道路。
自然の起伏がそのままに展開しているので、
いわゆる大規模住宅地開発行為は行われていないと推測されました。
建物は平屋で周辺の樹木に対してその高さを対応させている。
道路面からはやや下った位置に建物配置。
屋根雪に対して「雪止め」を付けて堆雪屋根としている。
上の写真はメインルームの様子。
東川の自然林の眺望に対して、薪ストーブが端正に配置されている。
周辺の森は松と落葉樹の混交林。
四季折々に北海道らしい表情を見せてくれている。
交通ネットワークが拡大し飛行機の便が飛躍的に向上したことで
従来とは違った首都圏地域からの半移住というニーズが生まれているのです。
このメインルームの佇まいには求まられている「癒し」が端的に表現。
こうしたニーズへの対応には首都圏大手デベロッパーなどが
市場ニーズ把握を通してこれまでは占有的だったけれど、
北海道では地域の作り手がこのように優勢に対応できている。
まだニーズの総量が大量生産・大量販売レベルではないことを表している。

また、今後そういうニーズが拡大していっても
住宅技術、デザイン表現力どちらをとっても
大量販売型の住宅メーカーに強い占有力が働くとは思えない。
マーケティング視点からはむしろデベロッパーが地域ビルダーと手を組む可能性。
小さいけれど、やや未来的なニーズに対して市場が今後どう展開するか。
北海道の各地域では今後ともこのような住宅市場が拡大する可能性がある。
いまは限定的な動きだけれど、北海道各地域の豊かな自然の魅力は強い。
ニーズ自体が個別的・個性的に展開するのではないか。
たしかにワーケーションには「働き方改革」的な要素もあり
発注者の企業体も個性的な空間表現を望むと思われる。
北海道として今後大いに期待していきたい動向ですね。

English version⬇

Asahikawa 2022 House Building Exploration-3] Asahikawa Suburbs, Higashikawa “Work Vacation” Development Asahikawa 2022 House Building Exploration-3
Work+vacation is emerging as the leading edge of telework for companies and individuals in the Tokyo metropolitan area. The need for individualization of warm rooms and a sense of nature. The need for warm rooms and a sense of nature.

In recent years, the Asahikawa suburbs and Higashikawa have been described as developing in a “semi-migrant” fashion from the mainland area.
The spread of infectious diseases has made teleworking universal on a daily basis.
The idea of prioritizing convenience, especially in the center of the Tokyo metropolitan area, as a work environment has been waning, and the rich natural environment has replaced it.
Instead, regions with a rich natural environment and transportation infrastructure are beginning to attract attention.
In the Higashikawa area, the Asahikawa region is a prime example.
The Higashikawa area is accessible from Asahikawa Airport, and transportation from the Tokyo metropolitan area is
Asahikawa Airport. The Higashikawa area has been attracting more and more attention because of its rich natural environment, and the fact that it can be immersed in a rich natural environment.
This is why it is attracting more and more attention.
Nowadays, workcation, a coined word combining work and vacation, is attracting attention.
Kita no Sumai Sekkeisha,” a company headquartered in the region, has been making furniture and other products that are appealing to the whole country.
The company has a strong relationship with such users, as it also appeals to the whole country through furniture production and other activities.
Recently, the company has been developing a “residential area” in a natural forest area near its headquarters, where nature is given top priority.
This housing is one of those.
The client is from the Honshu area and uses the building on an irregular basis.
The site is located on a slightly elevated plateau on the surrounding road.

The site is located on a slightly elevated site with no paved road.
The natural undulations of the land have been left untouched, so there is no need to develop the site in a large scale residential area.
We assumed that no so-called large-scale residential development activities had been carried out on the site.
The building is one-story and its height corresponds to that of the surrounding trees.
The building is located slightly below the road surface.
The roof is designed as a composting snow roof with a “snow stop” for snow.
The photo above shows the main room.
The wood stove is neatly placed against the view of the Higashikawa natural forest.
The surrounding forest is a mixed forest of pine trees and deciduous trees.
The forest shows us the typical expression of Hokkaido in each of the four seasons.
With the expansion of the transportation network and the dramatic improvement in air travel
A need has arisen for semi-migrants from the Tokyo metropolitan area, which is different from the past.
The appearance of the main room is a simple expression of the “healing” that is being sought.
In order to respond to these needs, major developers in the Tokyo metropolitan area and others have been working on the development of semi-migratory apartments.
In the past, they have been possessive in their understanding of market needs, but in Hokkaido, they are now taking the lead in this way.
In Hokkaido, however, local makers have the upper hand in responding to these needs.
This indicates that the total volume of needs is not yet at the level of mass production and mass sales.

And even if such needs expand in the future
I don’t think that mass-market homebuilders will have a strong hold on the market in terms of either housing technology or design expression.
I don’t think that mass-market homebuilders will have a strong position in the market.
From a marketing perspective, there is a possibility that developers will join forces with regional builders.
How will the market develop in the future to meet the small but somewhat futuristic needs of the market?
There is a possibility that this type of housing market will continue to expand in each region of Hokkaido.
Although limited at the moment, the rich natural attractions of the various regions of Hokkaido are strong.
The needs themselves may develop in individual and unique ways.
Workcations may indeed be an element of “work style reform,” and each corporate entity may also have its own unique space.
It is likely that each corporate entity would like to see unique spatial expressions.
This is a trend that we in Hokkaido have great expectations for in the future.

Posted on 9月 5th, 2022 by 三木 奎吾
Filed under: 「都市の快適」研究, 住宅取材＆ウラ話 | No Comments »

北海道の工務店グループ・アース21の久しぶりの地方現場見学会。
これまで大体年に５−６回のペースで行われてきた
「イマドキ北海道の家」現場見学の貴重な機会。
Zoomやオンラインでの情報交換会もそれはそれで意義があるけれど、
住宅って言うのは空間を創造する人間営為なので、やはり
カラダで感じる気付きや感覚がまさにコアの部分だと思います。
コトバでは伝わらない核心部分はそういった領域であって
それをお互いに確かめ合いながら、研鑽を積んでいくことが重要。
同じ北海道内でも、いくつか地域的な風土の違いがあって
そのなかでもっとも寒冷でしかも多雪という条件下にあるのが旭川・道北。
それだけに高断熱高気密・住宅性能の要件が決定的な地域性。
北海道の住宅研究組織「北総研」も本部が旭川にある。
そうした旭川の家づくりの中核メンバーの最新動向であります。

１軒目は（株）創樹さんの美瑛の家。
わたしのブログでは本州地域などの伝統的古民家などの取材が多いのですが
そういった探訪と対比的にイマドキの北海道の家の違い。
暮らし方の部分での大変革があったのだということが明瞭。
端的には和室がほぼ北海道では消えてしまって、
現代の「世界標準」の暮らし方に準拠した家づくりだと思える。
約25坪弱の１階間取り図を掲載しましたが、
基本的には開放的な間取りが特徴と言えるでしょうか。
玄関入り口は外部から若干の高低差が付けられ、しかも
囲うように屋根・壁が張り出して雪対策としている様子がわかる。
外壁には耐候性を考慮して金属外皮が採用されている。
凹凸の少ないシンプルな外観形状で、屋根は陸屋根でフラットルーフ。
落雪配慮よりも合理的な「乗っけたまま」の雪対応。
屋根の小屋組で剛性を高めるのが150年の北海道の寒冷地住経験の一般解。
これは非常に重要な変化要素だけれど、よくエトランゼのみなさんから
「屋根、ないんだ・・・」と驚かれることがある。
屋根を省力すると、外観的な「バランス」要素は窓の配置が大きくなる。
四角い外観に対して表情を演出していくのは窓となるのですね。
敷地が比較的に大きめでクルマ駐車スペース的には２台が標準的。
雪のことを考えて塀は存在せず、庭もあまり「付随的」とは言えない。

そして室内では基本的に「間仕切り壁」というのは消えていく。
というのは室内の空気環境をコントロールし、均質な室内気候を
実現していくためにはワンルーム感覚の方がハンドしやすくなる。
「動線」はあるけれど「廊下」というハッキリしたゾーン分けは乏しい。
玄関で靴は脱ぐけれど、やはり「世界標準」的ライフスタイルと思えますね。

English version⬇

Biei House Asahikawa 2022 House Building Exploration-1
A “world standard” lifestyle realized after 150 years of exploration of Hokkaido’s living environment. A simple-is-best philosophy to cope with the difficulties of winter snowfall. Biei, Hokkaido

This is the first regional site tour in a long time for the Hokkaido construction company group Earth 21.
The tour has been held approximately 5-6 times a year so far.
This is a rare opportunity to see the “Imadoki Hokkaido House” site tours, which have been held approximately five to six times a year.
While Zoom and online information exchange meetings are meaningful in their own right
However, since a house is a human activity to create a space, it is important to have the
I believe that the core of the process is the awareness and sensation that we feel in our bodies.
It is in these areas that the core cannot be conveyed by words.
It is important to study and study while mutually confirming this.
Even in Hokkaido, there are some regional differences in climate.
Asahikawa and northern Hokkaido have the coldest climate and the most snowfall.
Therefore, the requirements for high thermal insulation, high airtightness, and housing performance are critical in this region.
The Hokkaido housing research organization “Hokusoken” is also headquartered in Asahikawa.
Here are the latest developments of the core members of Asahikawa’s house-building community.

The first house is Souki’s house in Biei.
In my blog, I often cover traditional old houses in the Honshu area.
In contrast to such explorations, there was a big difference in the way of living in Hokkaido.
It is clear that there has been a great change in the way of living in Hokkaido.
In short, Japanese-style rooms have almost disappeared in Hokkaido.
The house seems to be built in conformity with the modern “world standard” way of living.
I have included a floor plan of the first floor of the house, which is just under 25 square meters in size.
Basically, I would say that it is characterized by an open floor plan.
The entrance is slightly elevated from the outside, and
The roof and walls are designed to protect the house from snow.
The exterior walls have a metal skin for weather resistance.
The exterior shape is simple with few irregularities, and the roof is flat with a flat flat roof.
Snowfall considerations are more rational than snowfall considerations, and the snow response is “leave it on”.
Rigidity is increased by the roof’s shed structure, which is the general solution based on 150 years of experience living in cold regions in Hokkaido.
This is a very important change factor, but I often hear from people in Etranse
I am often surprised by the fact that they do not have a roof.
When the roof is reduced in size, the “balance” element of the exterior is the arrangement of the windows.
So it is the windows that create expression to the square exterior.
The site is relatively large, and two cars are standard in terms of car parking space.
There is no fence for snow, and the garden is not very “incidental.

And indoors, “partition walls” will basically disappear.
This is because in order to control the indoor air environment and achieve a homogeneous indoor climate
It is easier to handle a single room in order to control the indoor air environment and to realize a homogeneous indoor climate.
Although there is a “line of flow,” there is not a clear division of “corridor” into zones.
Shoes are taken off at the entrance, but it still seems to be a “world standard” lifestyle.

Posted on 9月 3rd, 2022 by 三木 奎吾
Filed under: 住宅取材＆ウラ話, 日本社会・文化研究 | No Comments »

この建物を再生利用したいと丸谷さんが考えただけあって
その構成素材の素性には和風建築としての格調が感じられます。
写真の空間は水盤に面したメイン居室の座敷２間。
ふすま建具で仕切られたものが開放されみごとな広間が広がる。
周囲の植栽・森の様子らが水盤をも演出装置として座の目線で楽しめる。
いかにも日本の伝統的高級住宅手法が全開している。
近接した自然を建物の内部にまで引き込むという日本人の発想を感じる。
春夏秋の３シーズンで周囲の自然と完全に一体化することを
花鳥風月思想、あるいは老荘思想として和の精神性と感じ続けていた。
「冬さえガマンすれば・・・」という四季への感覚。
開口部の緩衝装置としては障子と非常時用の雨戸程度で、
あくまでも眺望最優先の思想になる。
なので「家は庭があってはじめて家庭なのだ」みたいな生活哲学になる。
一方北海道住宅は冬には大量の積雪で庭木が雪でやられる不安が大きく
庭のキャンセル率が高くなっている。
一生懸命に庭仕事に努力しても、楽しめる時間はせいぜい半年。
北海道人にしてみれば豊かな大自然との対話は１方向からの眺望で十分で
外にちょっと出ればいやでも視線に飛び込んでくると考える。
大空と自然との対話は１方向の窓からもダイナミックに感じられる・・・。
もし大開口空間を作るときには「開く」と「閉じる」の対話作業。
寒冷地での熱環境的には２面の開口部が全開している状態は難しい。
日射取得効果と３重ガラスの性能で熱環境のバランスを考えることになる。
和の眺望空間は高断熱住宅を見続けている人間としては、飛躍した空間。
浮輪寮は建築の用途が「IDEA CENTER」ということで非住宅。
発想の自由度を第１に考えた建物として古建築の美感を受容したのでしょう。
こういう開放型空間でやさしい気候環境と対話したいと考えるのは自然。
北国人としてはこういう自然との対話志向性を理解しつつ、
気候風土と調和させるにはどうしたらいいかと知恵と工夫で立ち向かう。
そういうハンデキャップレースはそれなりに楽しい（笑）。
「拡張された花鳥風月」をどうやったら北海道は獲得できるか、
こういうテーマ設定はなかなか無限に蠱惑的かと。

こういうあたりの居住環境性について
東京町田の環境の中で、春夏秋の季節感と冬対応をどうされているのか、
どんな試行をされているのか、機会を見てぜひ取材したいと思っています。
ただやはりわたし的には日本人なので、蒸暑の夏などに
こういう空間美のなかで感じる花鳥風月に憧憬する部分は大きいです。
失って知る、民俗記憶のなかのいごこちの良さみたいなものか。

English version

A Japanese-style large opening and Hokkaido-style blurring (laughs) Exploration of Tokyo Machida “Ukirinryo” – 4
A space in which the Japanese concept of “Kacho-fu-getsu” (flowers, birds, winds, and the moon) is abstracted. Hokkaido people, who are not able to perceive the same things in the same way, are oriented toward the “expansion of Kacho-fu-getsu” by force. …

Mr. Marutani wanted to revitalize this building.
The materials used in its construction are of a Japanese architectural quality.
The space in the photo is the two tatami rooms of the main living room facing the water table.
The room is divided by fusuma fittings, which are then opened to reveal a magnificent spacious room.
The surrounding plants and forest can be enjoyed from the viewpoint of the water table as well.
This is a traditional Japanese luxury residence in all its glory.
The Japanese concept of drawing nature into the interior of the building is very much in evidence.
The three seasons of spring, summer, and fall are to be completely integrated with the surrounding nature.
I have always felt that the idea of “Kacho-Fu-Getsu” or “Lao-Zhuang” is the spirituality of harmony.
The sense of the four seasons, “If only we could endure winter….
The only buffer devices at the openings are shoji screens and emergency storm shutters.
The view is the highest priority.
Therefore, the philosophy of life is that “a house is a home only if it has a garden.
On the other hand, in Hokkaido, there is a great deal of snowfall in winter, and there is great concern that the garden trees will be damaged by the snow, resulting in a high rate of garden cancellations.
The cancellation rate of the garden is high.
Even if you work hard on your garden, you can only enjoy it for half a year at most.
For Hokkaido residents, a view from one direction is enough to interact with the abundant nature.
If you go outside for a moment, it will jump into your line of sight.
The sky and nature can be dynamically felt even from a window in one direction….
If you create a large-opening space, it is a dialogue between “open” and “close”.
In terms of thermal environment in cold regions, it is difficult to have two side openings fully open.
The balance of thermal environment is to be considered in terms of solar radiation acquisition effect and triple glazing performance.
The Japanese view space is a leap forward for someone who has been looking at highly insulated houses.
The floating dormitory is a non-residential building, as its architectural use is an “IDEA CENTER.
As a building that considers the freedom of ideas first and foremost, it must have accepted the aesthetics of old architecture.
It is natural to want to interact with a friendly climate in such an open space.
As a northerner, I understand this desire to interact with nature, but I am also concerned about how to harmonize with the climate.
We in the North understand this desire to interact with nature, but we also have the wisdom and ingenuity to find ways to harmonize with the climate.
Such handicap races are fun in their own way (laughs).
How can Hokkaido achieve an “extended Kacho Fu Fugetsu”?
I think this kind of thematic setting is infinitely fascinating.

About the residential environment in these areas
I would like to know how they are dealing with the seasons of spring, summer, and fall, and winter in the environment of Machida, Tokyo, and what kind of trials they are making.
I would like to interview them when I have a chance.
However, as I am Japanese, I would like to visit a place where I can enjoy the beauty of the space in the summer when it is hot and humid.
I am a Japanese person, and I admire the beauty of the flowers, birds, winds, and the moon in such a beautiful space.
It is a kind of comfortableness in folk memories that I have lost.

Posted on 9月 1st, 2022 by 三木 奎吾
Filed under: 住宅取材＆ウラ話, 日本社会・文化研究 | No Comments »

寒冷地住宅の方向に発展してきた北海道住宅で
一般的に「デザイン追究」系と思われてきた「建築家」たちが
木製３重ガラス入りサッシの導入では地域で先端的に関わっていた。
防寒性を高めることとデザイン性を高めることが
同時に追究されていた。寒冷地環境の中で北海道の建築家たちは
積極的に北欧からの輸入サッシ導入を市場で先導してきた。
わたしどものReplan誌はそういう状況を踏まえて
その先導性に注目し、意図的にユーザーに情報拡散してきました。
そういう時代状況の中で本州地域の建築家にはやや距離感があった。
言ってみれば個人主義の全面開放だけとも言える自由奔放デザイン至上主義。
そういう建築家による北海道住宅建築での「不具合」も散見された。
取材時の否定的な気付きをReplan誌にそのまま掲載したこともある。
そういう建築家が多いなかでOMソーラーの志向性は独自性を持っていた。
主導者の奥村先生の「環境志向」というものには説得力があった。
性能を目指す作り手として北海道との同質性も感じていた。
まぁ、どうしても論争になる部分もあって誌面で公平に両論併記したこともある。
寒冷地と温暖地でアプローチ方法に違いがあることには理解できる、と。

今回の「浮輪寮」でも志向としては太陽熱集熱利用の志向性はあるようです。
ただ、今回の物件は古民家であり、それを性能改修するには
たぶん建て替えに近い改修になるのだろうと思う。
見る範囲ではそういう断熱気密の徹底ぶりはそれほど気付けなかった。
ただ、不可欠な暖冷房として温水循環装置が数カ所、要所に配置されていた。
こういう古民家での暖冷房としてデザイン的な調和性は高いと思われた。
っていうか、この暖冷房デザインには日本的な昇華を感じさせる。
一種の木製建具的な感覚受容が可能に思われる。
こういうあたり、温暖地域での建築家の選択眼を感じる思い。
古材に囲まれた空間で、黒っぽい木枠の彩色は調和的。
この温冷水循環暖冷房についてはいろいろな住宅実例を見て来たけれど、
空間全体の中での配置バランスも「ほどよく感じ」られることが、
重要な要件なのだと改めて気付かされる。
和の感覚でモダンの暖冷房設備を納めていくのは大いに参考になると思う。
改修での断熱のレベルがどれほどを想定しているのかは未確認。
見た範囲では５箇所ほどの暖冷房器設置だった。
いちばん上の写真は玄関を入っての室内全景だけれど、
この木製枠に囲われた暖冷房チューブはそれと気付かないさりげなさ。
冬以外でも室内にあり続ける北海道の薪ストーブと相似的。
中間期にもそれほど違和感をもたらさないとも思える。
住宅設備の納め方の感受性、温暖地の技とも感じた次第。

English version⬇

Thermal Environment Design of an Old Minka House in a Warm Area: Visit to “Ukirinryo” in Machida, Tokyo – 2
Although the level of insulation has not yet been investigated, the heating and cooling system is surprisingly suited to an old private house. The heating/cooling system is not too different even in the middle of the year. The house is not so strange even in the middle of the year.

Hokkaido housing has developed in the direction of cold-weather housing.
Architects” who are generally considered to be “design pursuits” were at the forefront in the introduction of wooden triple-glazed wood sash windows.
were at the forefront of the introduction of wooden triple-glazed wood sashes in the region.
The improvement of thermal protection and design were being pursued simultaneously.
and design at the same time. In the cold climate environment, Hokkaido architects
Hokkaido architects have actively led the market in introducing imported sashes from Scandinavia.
Our Replan magazine is based on this situation.
We have been focusing on this leadership and intentionally spreading information to our users.
In such an environment, architects in the Honshu area have been somewhat distant from the market.
In other words, it could be said that they only opened up to the full extent of individualism and free-spirited design supremacy.
There were some “glitches” in Hokkaido residential construction by such architects.
I once published a negative observation I made during an interview in Replan magazine as it was.
While there were many such architects, the orientation of OM Solar was unique.
The “environmental orientation” of the leader, Dr. Okumura, was very persuasive.
As a builder aiming for performance, I also felt a homogeneity with Hokkaido.
Well, there were inevitably some controversial parts, and I have fairly presented both sides of the argument in the magazine.
He said that it is understandable that there are differences in approach between cold and warm regions.

The “Ukinawa Dormitory” also seems to be oriented toward the use of solar heat collection as an orientation.
However, this property is an old house, and to make a performance renovation of it
I think it will probably be a renovation similar to rebuilding.
As far as I saw, I didn’t notice such thoroughness of insulation and airtightness that much.
However, hot water circulators were placed in several places as essential heating and cooling systems.
The design of the heating/cooling system in such an old house seemed to be highly harmonious.
In fact, the design of this heating and cooling system was very Japanese in its sublimation.
It seems possible to accept it as a kind of wooden fixture.
This is the kind of design that one would expect from an architect in a warm climate region.
The coloring of the black wooden frame is harmonious with the space surrounded by old timbers.
I have seen many examples of this hot- and cold-water circulation heating/cooling system in various houses.
I have seen many examples of this hot/cold water circulation heating/cooling system, but I realized once again that it is important to have a “moderate feeling” in the balance of the arrangement within the overall space.
I am reminded once again of the importance of the balance of the arrangement in the overall space.
I think it will be very helpful to install modern heating and cooling equipment with a Japanese sense of style.
We have not yet confirmed what level of insulation is expected in the renovation.
As far as I could see, there were about 5 heating/cooling units installed.
The top photo is a panoramic view of the interior as seen from the entrance.
The heating/cooling tubes enclosed by the wooden frame are so casual that it is hard to notice them.
It is similar to a wood stove in Hokkaido, which remains inside the house even outside of winter.
It is not so strange in the middle of the year either.
I felt that this is the sensitivity of the way housing equipment is installed and the skill of a warm climate region.

Posted on 8月 30th, 2022 by 三木 奎吾
Filed under: 「都市の快適」研究, 住宅取材＆ウラ話 | No Comments »

きのうの札幌は朝で20度ほどの気温。
写真のように一昨日では18.7度ほどまで下がって来ていました。
散歩道・北海道神宮隣接の円山動物園前の気温計。
さすがにこれくらいになると半袖Tシャツでは心許ないので
長袖のジャージを着込んできております。
ことしの北海道はスカッとした天候は少なくて
夏の盛りも曇りがちという様子でしたが、
じわじわと季節は深まってきて一抹のさみしさが空気感に漂ってきます。
ことしはあまり見られなかったオオウバユリも花を過ぎ結実時期。


イキモノの世界でもこの様子は明瞭で
上のセミさんはこの状態で動かなくなっているし、
下の写真の蛾も散歩道の足下でほぼ動かなくなっている。
ハネの色合いは枯れ葉の擬態であることがあきらかで
よく観察してみてはじめて蛾だと認識できた次第です。
死んでいるのかと木の枝で突いてみると、まだ動いてはいました。
しかしすでに力弱く静寂をただ待っている感じ。
どこかの草むらにでも移動させようにもつかまる体力が失せている。
やむなく舗装歩道に放置しておきましたが、
やがてなにかに蹴飛ばされ踏みつけられるのかなと。
まぁ自然の摂理なので、人間がどうこうできるものでもない。

2022年の夏も感染症の猛威がまだまだ継続していて
じんわりと季節感を感じるほどの余裕を持てないまま過ぎつつあります。
経済動向を見ているとこの秋には大きな変動勃発の予感。
アメリカでは物価高、インフレが猛威をふるっているし、
それに対してFRBがかなり荒療治的に対応すると宣言を出している。
一方で中国では無謀なゼロコロナ政策で経済にマイナス影響が色濃い。
不動産バブルによるこれまでの経済成長路線に急ブレーキが掛かって
金融を含めた社会動向に非常に危機的な情報があふれてきている。
この秋にもなにか大きな動乱が発生する可能性がある。
こんな状況からか、中国外交トップが日本の外交担当者と７時間もの
長時間対話を行ったという情報も伝わってきている。
中国外交部は8月18日、外交トップの楊潔篪・共産党中央政治局委員と
日本の秋葉剛男・国家安全保障局長が8月17日、天津市で
「中日第9回ハイレベル政治対話」を共同開催したと発表した。
・・・中国は対米関係の行き詰まりがあれば伝統的に日本を利用する。
中国経済の危機的状況からの一種の外交的サインなのかも知れない。
HONDAは中国企業群とのデカップリングを情報発信して
場合によっては中国事業を見放す方向だと受け取れるサインを出した。
TOYOTAにもそういう動きが見られるという情報。
いずれの情報からも秋以降の変動要因がマグマの胎動のように感じられる。

English version⬇

[Slowly cooling autumn, the end of summer, and the global economy.
The Fed’s response to the U.S. economic modulation and the expansion of China’s economic turbulence factors. Are major autumn fluctuations beginning to emerge like a magma? …

The temperature in Sapporo yesterday was about 20 degrees Celsius in the morning.
The day before yesterday, the temperature had dropped to about 18.7 degrees Celsius, as shown in the photo.
The thermometer in front of Maruyama Zoo adjacent to Hokkaido Shrine.
As one would expect, a short-sleeved T-shirt is not comfortable when the temperature is this low.
So I put on a long-sleeved jersey.
This year in Hokkaido, there was not much clear weather.
The weather has been cloudy even in the height of summer, but the season is slowly deepening.
The season is gradually deepening, and a hint of loneliness is in the air.
The day lilies, which have not been seen very often this year, have passed their blooming stage and are now in the fruiting stage.

Even in the world of iminos, this situation is clear.
The cicada above is motionless in this state, and the moth in the photo below is almost motionless under the foot of the walkway.
The moth in the photo below is almost motionless under the foot of the walkway.
The coloration of the honeycomb is clearly a mimicry of dead leaves.
It was not until I observed it closely that I recognized it as a moth.
I poked it with a tree branch to see if it was dead, but it was still moving.
However, it was already weak and just waiting for silence.
I tried to move it to the grass somewhere, but it had lost the strength to hold on.
I had no choice but to leave it on the paved sidewalk.
I wondered if something would eventually kick it away and trample it down.
Well, it is the order of nature, and there is nothing we can do about it.

In the summer of 2022, the onslaught of infectious diseases is still continuing.
The summer of 2022 is passing by without enough time to feel a sense of the season.
Looking at economic trends, I have a feeling that we could see major changes this fall.
In the U.S., high prices and inflation are still raging.
The Fed has announced that it will respond to this situation in a very drastic manner.
Meanwhile, China’s reckless zero-corona policy is having a strong negative impact on the economy.
The economic growth path that has been driven by the real estate bubble has been suddenly braked, and social trends, including financial ones, are extremely critical.
Information on social trends, including the financial sector, is becoming very critical.
There is a possibility that some major upheaval will occur this fall.
Perhaps because of this situation, we have received information that a top Chinese diplomat had a seven-hour long dialogue with a Japanese diplomat.
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced on August 18 that it would hold a meeting with Japanese diplomats to discuss the situation.
On August 18, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs held a meeting between top diplomats Yang Jiechi, a member of the Communist Party’s Central Political Bureau, and
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported that on August 18, top diplomats Yang Jiechi, a member of the Communist Party Central Political Bureau, and Takeo Akiba, Director-General of the National Security Bureau of Japan, held the
The 9th China-Japan High-Level Political Dialogue was jointly held in Tianjin, China, on August 17.
… China traditionally turns to Japan when there is a deadlock in its relations with the United States.
This may be a kind of diplomatic sign from the critical situation of the Chinese economy.
HONDA will send out information about decoupling with a group of Chinese companies.
HONDA has sent out information about its decoupling from a group of Chinese companies, a sign that could be taken as a sign that it is abandoning its China business in some cases.
There is also information that TOYOTA is also making such a move.
All of this information suggests that the factors that will cause fluctuations from autumn onward are like an embryo of a magma.

Posted on 8月 28th, 2022 by 三木 奎吾
Filed under: こちら発行人です, 状況・政治への発言 | No Comments »